The study found that climate change could harm banana cultivation in key producing and exporting countries.
Bananas are recognized as the most important fruit crop providing food, nutrition and income for millions of people in both rural and urban areas around the world.
Although many reports have addressed the effects of climate change on agricultural production, the effects of temperature increases and changes in rainfall on key tropical crops such as bananas are less studied.
In a new study by Dr. Dan Beber from the University of Exeter, scientists examined both the recent and future impacts of climate change on the world's leading banana producers and exporters.
It shows that in 27 countries, which account for 86% of the global production of dessert bananas, an average increase in yield was observed since 1961 due to climate change, which led to more favorable growing conditions.
However, which is extremely important, the report also suggests that these benefits may be significantly reduced or completely disappear by 2050 if climate change continues at the expected rate.
It is estimated that in 10 countries, including the world's largest producer and consumer of bananas of India and the 4 largest producer of Brazil, a significant decline in yield is projected.
In this new study, the team assessed climate sensitivity to global productivity or yield of dessert bananas using sophisticated modeling techniques.
Dr. Varun Varma, the author of the study, said: “We believe that practical solutions already exist, but they are scattered across banana-producing countries. This sharing of knowledge should begin now to counteract predicted crop losses due to climate change. ”